Annie Duke
Stop judging your decisions by how they turn out. Life is a game of poker, not chess, meaning luck and hidden information influence outcomes along with skill.
Treating life like chess creates the illusion that good outcomes always come from perfect choices, whereas life actually resembles poker where luck and hidden information influence results.
We must actively avoid resulting, which is the cognitive trap of judging the quality of our initial choices based solely on how things ultimately turned out.
Framing every choice as a wager forces us to examine our beliefs more objectively and assign realistic probabilities to what we think we know.